Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.362757 0.482035 0.619762 0.788207 0.986322 1.209685 1.478257
2025-11-23 0.202508 0.342728 0.530225 0.788341 1.123593 1.533976 2.063636
2025-11-30 0.126748 0.274286 0.500867 0.845742 1.329732 1.958779 2.811282
2025-12-07 0.075961 0.216306 0.464916 0.880540 1.504419 2.356316 3.556239
2025-12-14 0.042254 0.166335 0.422600 0.892046 1.641338 2.709421 4.263476
2025-12-21 0.020478 0.122155 0.372421 0.876245 1.729653 2.995625 4.892192
2025-12-28 0.010108 0.095686 0.345248 0.890864 1.861471 3.347607 5.624884
2026-01-04 0.004170 0.072966 0.315516 0.892199 1.967684 3.663749 6.316873
2026-01-11 0.001066 0.051151 0.275587 0.862739 2.014943 3.888848 6.882582
2026-01-18 0.000136 0.035838 0.243657 0.840967 2.069920 4.124861 7.469409
2026-01-25 0.000003 0.026790 0.225700 0.845434 2.170706 4.436003 8.176751
2026-02-01 NaN 0.017351 0.196450 0.814641 2.199659 4.629082 8.708647
2026-02-08 NaN 0.014209 0.194189 0.854004 2.371585 5.071707 9.647306
2026-02-15 NaN 0.009875 0.179546 0.856477 2.469703 5.394768 10.411158
2026-02-22 NaN 0.008815 0.185350 0.918513 2.694527 5.942439 11.542460
2026-03-01 NaN 0.007030 0.183070 0.956017 2.870320 6.411506 12.560926
2026-03-08 NaN 0.004926 0.173417 0.968538 2.993361 6.792602 13.448272
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002836 0.156225 0.951967 3.051056 7.059801 14.158632
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001868 0.149167 0.967542 3.180243 7.457580 15.087887
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001056 0.138984 0.969001 3.276682 7.798402 15.930415
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000386 0.121659 0.937802 3.294178 7.995010 16.539821
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000106 0.107776 0.914728 3.327670 8.220694 17.200681
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000028 0.101017 0.919471 3.428240 8.573793 18.079992